Monday, April 14, 2014

How good is NSE’s trading limit rule?









How good is NSE’s trading limit rule?
National Stock Exchange Ltd (NSE) has decided to adopt the “limit up-limit down” mechanism introduced by the US exchanges some time ago; but with some modifications. The mechanism prevents trades from occurring outside of a specified price band, and can be an effective tool for protecting the market from sharp movements caused by erroneous orders. NSE said in a circular to its members that the new mechanism will apply to mid-month and far-month futures and options contracts; for now, the new rules won’t apply to the exchange’s most liquid contracts (with near-month expiry).
As pointed out earlier in this column (http://goo.gl/2RB0aZ ), the “limit up-limit down” mechanism is superior to the current dynamic price bands system, because instead of putting restrictions on order entry, they put limits on order execution. However, NSE’s deviations from the US model may result in some complications. Another criticism is that it may be unfair for the exchange to decide unilaterally on such market structure issues.
Some experts in market microstructure believe that there should be no price restrictions either on order entry or trade execution. One justification for this is a belief in free markets and that there should be no curbs on market participants who engage in the important task of price discovery. The other reason given is that such restrictions can be used by some market participants to game the system. The simpler the mechanism, the easier it becomes for all market participants to navigate the markets. There is certainly some merit to this argument—certain special order types used by US equity exchanges have been used by high frequency trading firms to gain an advantage over other participants.
Having said all this, not doing anything to prevent flash crash type episodes is not wise either and the new mechanism has some useful features. The current system of putting limits on order entry (within a pre-defined price range) results in a deterioration of the depth of an order book and is avoidable.
Here’s how the system with limits on order execution looks in the US—there is a 5% price band on execution. This band will be dynamic and will change depending on the average traded price in the past five minutes. If a stock suddenly rises/falls 5%, it will enter a “limit state” for a 15 second period. During this period, trades can still happen, but only within the +/- 5% limit. If the rise/fall was caused by an erroneous order, it will give the trader adequate time to cancel the order and avoid a situation where the order drags down the market beyond the 5% limit. If, however, the order which caused the rise/fall is neither cancelled nor executed against other fresh orders within the price limit, then a five-minute trading pause will be declared, before normal price discovery can begin again. The second scenario will typically play out when there is a big news development, which causes a big shift in the market’s view of the stock’s price, and that price falls outside the trading range defined by exchanges. Of course, it must be said here that while all of this looks good on paper, there isn’t adequate empirical evidence to suggest the new mechanism has helped the US cash equities market.
PRASHANT SHARMA
PGDM-IIsem
source-MINT

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