Monday, April 14, 2014

China may have 1,000 tonnes of gold tied in financing: WGC

Gold has been increasingly reliant on China for support due to outflows 
from exchange-traded funds and as the US Fed Reserve unwinds its 
stimulus.   

SINGAPORE: Chinese firms could have locked up as much as 1,000 tonnes of gold in financing deals, an industry report said, indicating a big a slice of imports has been used to raise funds due to tight credit conditions, rather than to meet consumer demand.

The financing-related buying in the world's biggest bullion consumer means gold prices could come under pressure if imports are hit by a broader government crackdown on using commodities .

Gold has been increasingly reliant on China for support due to outflows from exchange-traded funds and as the U.S. Federal Reserve unwinds its stimulus.

"Imported gold is being used via gold loans and letters of credit (LC) to raise low cost funds for business investment and speculation," according to a report by the World Gold Council (WGC) released on Tuesday.

"The use of gold for purely financial operations is a form of demand that represents a small part of the much wider growth in shadow banking. It is feasible that by the end of 2013 this could have reached a cumulative 1,000 tonnes."

That accounts for almost a third of annual global production and is worth about $43 billion at current prices

The estimates come from Precious Metals Insights, a Hong Kong-based consultancy firm that was commissioned by the WGC to lead the survey o .. 

Gold prices have gained 10 per cent so far this year, buoyed by heightened geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and volatile equities.

COPPER AND IRON ORE HIT 

Chinese firms have been using various commodities to obtain credit after a tightening of traditional sources. Copper, iron ore, rubber, soybeans are all being used along side gold.

China has up to $160 billion of outstanding loans using commodities as collateral, about 31 per cent of the country's short-term foreign exchange loans, according to Goldman Sachs.


Last month, copper and iron ore prices took a hit on concerns that an increasing crackdown on such financing models could release a huge amount of stock into the market.

"Gold loans or LCs used to import gold offer wealthy individuals and companies a form of cheap short-term financing either for business or speculation. They can also be used to circumvent capital controls to bring funds into China," Tuesday's WGC report said.


Gold is also being used to raise funds for real estate purchases, speculation in higher yielding assets, and interest rate or currency arbitrage.

China imported a record 1,160 tonnes of gold from main conduit Hong Kong last year, in addition to about 428 tonnes of local production. The WGC has said Chinese demand in 2013 was about 1,066 tonnes, leaving the industry guessing about the "surplus" of about 522 tonnes. 

Unless either the PBOC ( People's Bank of China) cracks down more severely and effectively on commodity financing or the credit allocation and pricing system in China is improved, substantial amounts of gold may continue to be imported and tied up in financial operations."


ONIKA JAISWAL
PGDM 1ST YEAR
SOURCE- ECONOMIC TIMES

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