Subbarao warns of record current account deficit
Mumbai: Reserve Bank of India Governor Duvvuri Subbarao
today cautioned the country was headed for the highest ever current
account deficit this fiscal, after it rose to 5.3 per cent of GDP in the
second quarter.
"Last year, CAD was 4.2 per cent of GDP, but this year we
expect it would be significantly higher than that. It's going to be
historically the highest CAD measured as a proportion of GDP," the
Governor said, though he refrained from giving any figure.
He also expressed concern over the way the CAD, which is the gap
between forex gained and forex spent, is being financed by volatile
inflows instead of more foreign direct investments.
Subbarao was addressing the convocation ceremony of the RBI-set
up Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR) here.
The trade gap is widening mainly because of higher import of oil
and gold. The third quarter numbers are expected later this week.
Flagging his concerns over CAD, which was the overriding theme of
the third quarter monetary policy announced on January 29, Subbarao
said these were regarding its level, quality and the way it is being
financed.
"We would not worry if the widening CAS is on account of import
of capital goods, but here it is high on account of import of oil and
gold.
"The other concern is the way we are financing it. We are
financing our CAD through increasingly volatile flows. Instead, we
should ideally be getting as much of FDI as possible to finance
TOUHID HUSSAIN
PGDM 2nd SEMESTER
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