Updated: August 28, 2013 23:25 IST
Rupee slumps to 68.80
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"There is a shortage of dollars in the market as participants are expecting the rupee to fall to 70-72 level."
The rupee continued its free fall against the dollar touching a record low of 68.85 on Wednesday. While bond yields rose sharply, stock prices remained choppy.
The rupee nosedived by 3.7 per cent to an all-time low of 68.85 intra-day before closing at 68.80/81 compared to its previous close of 66.24/25.
The fear of a possible U.S.-led military attack on Syria is leading to considerable outflows from emerging markets. Though the rupee recovered some of its losses momentarily as the RBI intervened it later shed all of its gains. The passage of the food security bill by Lok Sabha has also put further pressure on rupee, as it has raised doubts about the government's intentions to control fiscal deficit.
“The current price structure suggests the downside momentum in rupee continues to be strong, and further weakness can be seen up to the 70 mark, from where we might see some respite,” said Sugandha Sachdeva, Assistant Vice-President & Incharge-Metals, Energy & Currency Research, Religare Securities Ltd.
Bond yields rose sharply with the benchmark 10-year rate rising by18 basis points (bps) to 8.96 percent. In a highly volatile trade, it moved in a range of 8.76 per cent to 9.04 per cent. The five-year yield was up 32 basis points at 9.10 per cent, and one-year yield by 32 basis points at 10.16 per cent.
“RBI’s quantitative tightening campaign, in our judgement, has been, at best, premature and, at worst, wholly injudicious,” said BNP Paribas in a report on the Indian economy. It said “the recent liquidity squeeze is the wrong solution to the wrong problem, and risks proving entirely counter-productive.”
The RBI had tightened liquidity in the system through several measures in the last few weeks to shore up the value of Indian currency.
Sensex ends flat
Meanwhile, stock indices ended flat on Wednesday after recovering from a sharp fall intra-day, with the support of information technology stocks.
The S&P BSE Sensex closed with a marginal gain of 28.07 points at 17,996.15. But all other broader indices ended in the rAds by Google
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Although fall in rupee was expected but not such a steep one. Maybe it has to do something with bringing back black money since elections are coming near.
Foreign tourists bring $$ This industry is a massive employer across multiple
salary ranges. India has recently tripled the cost of a tourist visa in UK to £120. EU
has also increased air taxes making a trip to India £750 before leaving UK.
Casual tourists looking for value will not choose India, as visa takes
10 working days, and many seeking an overseas holiday use the net for late
bargains, excluding India.
The visa service has been outsourced, and huge fees are charged.
The old system took one day at the consulate, afternoon collection.
If India wants tourists, don't gouge them before
they leave home, or they won't come.
As far as positive measures are concerned I trust IMF more than Indian government. It is because of IMF that we are forced to do the liberalization of 1991. And nobody cares about this central Asian pipeline.
Rupee lost its value to this extent only because of irresponsible
persons in responsible positions. Black money is the root cause for
all this deficit. Rich people(who are all in responsible positions)
stack money for their generation forgetting they are serving for their
country not for them. of course, all other means made rupee to its
lowest but incapability and irresponsibility of eminent persons made
the rupee value to down. Definitely, if Necessary actions are not
taken immediately, then the fate of the Indians will be worst more
than ever. until 1947, we had been slaves and now it emerges again.
Maybe its a little tough for laymen like me to understand all the
economy related terms and assess what exactly is the cause behind this
free fall of Rupee. But its not that simple that government just use
their magic wand and stop this slaughter. What lacking here is
government is failing to make the people understand that the policies
can only work up to a certain limit. The people of India should also
take active responsibility instead of blatantly accusing the
government. Just stop being accusing hypocrites for once and do your
part. Government should suggest what is required from the people to
help the country out of the situation (limiting the purchase of gold,
buying international goods being a few of the examples).