Thursday, September 4, 2014

Investment products came first, and then protection

 
 
 
 
Eight years ago, I interviewed with a US insurer to build their business in India. Walking into their headquarters was an eye opener. Every person I met had spent two to three decades in insurance and with one company. Insurance is a business that demands a long-term perspective. Decisions taken today can impact business decades later as insurances mature. Most respected insurers are 100-year-old institutions. Last month, I reached out to six experienced international executives whom I have met over the years and asked them to list international events or trends that have shaped insurance. This is an amazing group. Their cumulative experience of over 170 years spans every continent and they have directly led insurance businesses in over 40 countries. I have synthesized their responses and inferred lessons for India.
 
 
 
The shift from protection-oriented insurance to investment products has fundamentally altered the industry. Most insurers began their existence selling protection and savings. That is a much harder sell than investment. Over the past two decades, insurers have introduced investment products such as variable universal life, unit-linked insurance plans (Ulips) and variable annuities. This has driven growth but also profoundly altered the industry. Now, insurers are exposed to investment cycles that previously left them unaffected. When markets fall, customers lose money and are dissatisfied because they expect stability from insurers.
Unfortunately, India’s development has been diametrically opposite. We first introduced investment products and are now gradually moving to protection. This makes building capability to sell protection much more difficult. The solution lies in creating large groups that can be provided protection cover cost-effectively. The government scheme where Rs.30,000 term cover is given to new account holders is one such example. A trust I know covers over 1,000 of its members with such insurance. Many more groups are possible if insurers actively seek out these opportunities.
Over the past two decades, direct distribution has sparkled. Estimates suggest that 40% of insurance contracts are sold directly to customers without an intermediary. Direct distribution has effectively lowered insurance costs. However, the flipside is that the channel is ineffective for non-commodity, complicated products. High quality tied agents are best for these products but the number of such agents in many markets is reducing. According to ReMark, a global insurance direct-marketing firm, this has led to a drop in life insurance penetration among younger customers in several developed markets. If not managed well, direct distribution can result in people buying products without understanding detailed terms or buying less insurance than they ought to have.
The Internet is the most transformational direct distribution medium. Regulations play a key role in its development. New electronic transaction rules introduced across the world during the past two decades have spurred insurance e-commerce.
Direct distribution in India is nascent and should be encouraged. Payment processes, physical documentation and signature requirements, verification processes and more need substantial overhaul and simplification.
The opening up of Asian markets has fuelled growth for established international insurers. According to reinsurer Swiss Re, 10 years ago, countries belonging to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development group accounted for 91% of insurance premiums. Today, this is 81%. China and India are key to international insurers but both countries have been protectionist in a way that is detrimental to local industry development. Therein lies an opportunity. When the Insurance Bill goes through Parliament, there will be renewed interest in India. International insurers are likely to develop direct distribution and protection products.
Internationally, capital requirements are risk-based and increasingly stringent. This is good because capital is linked more closely to specific risks, and insurers must have stronger internal processes and well thought out product design, reinsurance and investment. The downside is that even though insurers do not generate the same systemic risk as banks, they are subject to similar regulatory control.
In India, our solvency requirements are not directly risk-based. We must shift to this risk-based approach. In the short term, capital requirements may actually come down but in the long term we will have a more systematic methodology to determine capital needs.
Catastrophes are more expensive, severe and common. According to Swiss Re, in 1980, the 10-year average of insured losses was about $10 billion. In 2013, it was $60 billion. Over 80% of these losses are natural disasters but man-made catastrophes such as terrorism are also on the rise. We do not sense this impact in India yet because our insurance penetration is very low. In fact, this puts greater responsibility on the government to provide cover for large-scale catastrophes.
Longevity in international markets is increasing fast and people have not provided for retirement. Consumers as well as actuaries consistently underestimate longevity. Because people live longer, the incidence of critical illness has gone up. So, retirement and elderly healthcare products are a focus across the world. In India, lack of retirement planning has been a perennial issue.
I meet so many elderly people who cannot pay for their daily needs and are forced to depend upon others. Large pension schemes are un-funded. Annuities are conservatively priced and taxed. Retirees have to use up their capital to survive.
Social media is forcing improvements in customer service. Anybody can post their views on an insurer and be read by thousands. The court of public opinion is uncompromising and forcing better service. This trend is also visible in India. Browse through social media and you will find hundreds of specific customer complaints. Often, insurers resolve issues on the social media platform itself. The days of prohibiting agents from posting about a company have gone. Insurers will need to be active social media participants to resolve customer issues.
The group that sent me their observations provided valuable insight. India was the last big insurance market in the world to open up. History is replete with late bloomers who left a mark. That opportunity is still open for us.
 
By
Shah Mohammad Abdul Qadir
PGDM 3rd Sem
IIMT College Of Management
Greater Noida, U.P.
 

PE exits through public markets rise

PE exits through public markets rise




Mumbai: As Indian stocks continue to hit new highs, some private equity (PE) funds are locking in returns by selling their investments in publicly traded companies.
On Wednesday, US-based private equity firm General Atlantic LLC’s arm GA Global Investments, sold 6.5 million shares of IndusInd Bank Ltd for Rs.397 crore. It owned 4.83% stake in the bank, which has now come down to 3.59%.
 
 
General Atlantic is one among many funds that has used the market rally to sell part of their listed investments. According to JM Financial data research, PE funds have sold $1.18 billion worth of investments through public market transactions between January and August this year. This is 75% of the total exits by PE funds so far this year. Over the same period last year, only 20% of total exits happened through the public markets, adding up to roughly $580 million.
 
“Market exits have increased substantially and private equity funds have managed to exit through this route effectively. We expect more exits to happen through the year and the numbers will go up substantially, especially for companies that are listed and where investors are making returns,” said
 Bhavesh Shah, managing director-investment banking at JM Financial Institutional Securities Ltd.
 
On 17 July, First Carlyle Growth VI, the investment entity through which US-based PE firm Carlyle Group had invested in Repco Home Finance Ltd sold its entire stake in the company. It sold nearly 10 million shares for Rs.465 crore. It started exiting the investment last year and has sold its holding in the company for Rs.664 crore on its investment of Rs.108 crore. This worked out to an internal rate of return (IRR) of 38.4% on the investment, according to a person directly involved in the transaction. Carlyle has sold Rs.500 crore in investments through public market exits this year.
 
 
Large PE funds such as Bain Capital, Baring Private Equity Partners India, Saif Partners, Multiples Alternate Asset Management Pvt. Ltd, ChrysCapital Management Co. and others have also sold part of their investments.
 
The largest of these was Bain Capital’s sale of 4.29% stake in Hero MotoCorp Ltd for Rs.1,481 crore, according to a Mint report dated 13 June. Baring India also sold 0.77% in Bangalore-based software services exporter Mphasis Ltd in the June quarter for an undisclosed sum.
 
“The capital market buoyancy will enable funds to exit from their investments. Markets had been depressed for last two-three years and funds now have the opportunity to monetize their investments and return capital to investors” said Keshav Misra, partner and head of investments at Baring Private Equity Partners India. Baring has investments in Muthoot Finance Ltd, Manappuram Finance Ltd , Vardhman Holdings Ltd and TD Power Systems Ltd.
 
“We do have public market exposure and exits are a continuous process and we would be open to mark some exits if we see the price and value is correct,” said Misra.
According to Sanjeev Krishan, executive director and leader-private equity and transaction services at PricewaterhouseCoopers Pvt. Ltd, public market exits will continue as valuations improve.
“If their own assessment of valuations of the company indicates that the underlining company performance is lower than its current valuations they find it a better decision to exit these shares,” said Krishan.
Since the beginning of this year, BSE’s benchmark Sensex has gained 27.94%. On Thursday, it fell 0.20% to close at 27,085.93 points
 
 
md. aquil alam
pgdm 3rd semester
iimt college of management
source.live mint

Sensex at record highs, but buy selectively, say analysts 

MUMBAI: The Sensex snapped a nine-day roll at all-time highs on Thursday as traders and investors paused to book profits or take a reality check on the wave of optimism sweeping stock markets. The benchmark index ended marginally down by 0.2%. Analysts said the time was still fine to invest in equities but advised selective buying at dip, with an investment horizon of at least six months.
Experts trained their eyes on earnings prospects and valuations amid the cheer spread by expectations of an economic rebound and pro-growth policies from the 100-day-old Modi government.
On Thursday, the BSE benchmark index closed at 27,085.93, down 54 points, or 0.2% and the broader NSE Nifty fell 18.65 points to close at 8,095.95.
The Sensex has gained 28% so far this year. It has in fact surged 5.3% in the past one month.
“At the peak of January 2008, the Nifty was valued at 28 times its price-to-earnings ratio. Right now, it is only 19-20 times. So there is still a lot of room for money to be made, if the investment perspective is 6 months to 1-2 years,” said Rahul Shah, vice-president, equity advisory group, Motilal Oswal Securities.
Experts also said that improving macro-economic indicators, a pick-up in auto sales and the government’s push to infrastructure projects will continue to drive markets higher.
“Minor corrections can’t be ruled out due to the recent rally. But overall, we remain positive on the markets given the improving economic conditions. One should invest for a minimum 6-month timeframe. We are bullish on the auto sector,” said Sanjeev Zarbade, vice-president, private client group research, Kotak Securities.
Motilal Oswal expects the Sensex to hit 30,000 by December, and is bullish on stocks in the oil and gas, software services, private banks and non-banking financial services sectors.
Among foreign brokerages, Nomura has raised its Sensex target to 30,310 by August 2015 while Deutsche Bank has set a milestone of 28,000 for the index by December.
NAME- RAJ GAURAV
               PGDM 3 SEM


Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Tata Motors rallies on order win under JNNURM scheme



NEW DELHI: Tata Motors
LtdBSE 1.49 % rallied as much as
2.6 per cent in trade on Wednesday, after the automobile major received orders
for over 2,700 'urban' buses under the Jawaharlal Nehru National Urban Renewal Mission (JNNURM) - II
scheme.

At 09:30 a.m.; Tata Motors was trading 1.6 per cent higher at Rs
524.95. It hit a low of Rs 523.15 and a high of Rs 530.50 in trade
today.

The company had received an order from KSRTC (Karnataka State Road
Transport Corporation) .
to supply 487 buses and another for 780 buses from HRTC (Himachal Road
Transport Corporation) for Tata Marcopolo built buses as per Urban Bus Specifications
under JNNURM - II
scheme, Tata Motors said in a statement


 
.
These orders are part of the over 2,700 orders for Tata Motors buses received
under the scheme, it added.

Morgan Stanley upgradeed the stock to
"overweight" from "equal-weight." The Bank cited Tata Motor's "attractive"
relative valuations and optimism about margins and volumes.

Standard and
Poor's raised its outlook to "positive" from "stable." Credit agency cited
stronger performance of Tata unit Jaguar Land Rover.

Jefferies also
raised its rating on the stock ..
on the stock to "buy" from "hold".
 
sourc.  the economics times
md.aquil alam
pgdm 3rd semester
iimt college of management


 

 

United Bank declares Mallya wilful defaulter

Kolkata-based United Bank of India (UBI) on Monday declared UB Group chairman Vijay Mallya, his grounded airline Kingfisher Airlines (KFA) and three directors on its board, Ravi Nedungadi, Anil Kumar Ganguly and Subash Gupte wilful defaulters. UBI is the first lender to have taken this step.
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D Narang, UBI executive director who heads GRC, said: “Kingfisher, Mallya and three directors on the board have been declared wilful defaulters.”
Following this declaration, banks are likely to stop funding any company that has Mallya and his colleagues on their boards. They may also have to step down from all companies in which they are directors. UBI can also initiate criminal proceedings against them.
Mallya is chairman of UB Holdings, the holding company of the UB Group, United Spirits, United Breweries, Shaw Wallace, Mangalore Chemicals & Fertilizers, besides a host of smaller UB Group companies. He is also chairman of Bayer Cropscience, the Indian arm of the German MNC.
No executive from the company showed up for a scheduled meeting with UBI’s Grievance Redressal Committee (GRC) at 10.30 am on Monday, forcing the bank to take this step.
HT had first reported on May 30, 2014 that UBI had initiated the process of declaring Mallya and his airline wilful defaulters.
KFA and its directors “intend to pursue all available legal remedies, including an appeal before the Supreme Court of India”, KFA said in a statement.
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) guidelines define a wilful defaulter as a company or individual who does not repay a loan despite having the capacity to do so or diverts borrowed funds for purposes not envisaged in the agreement with the lender.
The airline owes UBI about Rs. 350 crore. A consortium of 17 public and private sector banks, including State Bank of India, Punjab National Bank and IDBI Bank, among others, have outstanding loans of over Rs. 4,000 crore to the grounded carrier. Many of them have also initiated the process of declaring the grounded carrier and its directors as wilful defaulters.
Last week, the Calcutta high court had dismissed a plea by Mallya and KFA to be represented before the GRC by lawyers. The bank had wanted either Mallya or one of his senior executives to be present.
UBI will now inform the finance ministry, the RBI and the Securities Exchange Board of India about its d

                              Mithilesh Chaubey
                    PGDM 3rd sem

Sensex kisses 27,000 as foreign inflows, CAD data trigger rally  

The BSE benchmark Sensex on Tuesday crossed 27,000 for the first time in history and the NSE Nifty breached the pasycho-logical 8,000 mark on continued inflows by foreign funds buoyed by improving economic data.
After rising to a record 27,019.39 during intra-day trade, the Sensex closed up 151.84 points, or 0.6%, to end at a lifetime closing high of 27,019.39.
The Nifty gained 55.35 points, or 0.7%, to close at 8,083.05. Earlier in the session, it scaled 8,100 for the first time to hit a new high of 8,101.95.
Riding high on the rally, financial services major Morgan Stanley has upgraded its June 2015 target for the Sensex to 28,800.
“The sentiment has been very positive as investors are buying into the India story, which has seen some encouraging signs such as improved GDP growth, likely funding support from Japan and softening of crude prices,” said Sanjeev Zarbade, vice-president, private client group research, Kotak Securities.
Cipla was the top gainer among Sensex stocks (up 5.23%) followed by Bharti Airtel (up 4.24%) and Sun Pharma (up 2.50%).
“With steady US bond yields despite ongoing taper and most other central banks in easing mode, the global liquidity is strong and is looking for better investment avenues in emerging markets. With domestic fundamentals on an improving trend, India is well positioned to receive global flows,” said Harsha Upadhyaya, chief investment officer, equity, Kotak Mutual Fund.
              PGDM 3 SEM

 


Sensex hits new record-high of 27,148.90; Nifty at 8,119.80


MUMBAI:Continuing its rising streak for the ninth straight session, the benchmark BSE sensex rose over 129 points to hit a new high of 27,148.90 in opening trade today on sustained foreign capital inflows coupled with a firming trend on other Asian bourses.



The 30-share index, which had gained over 705 points in the previous eight sessions, gathered another 129.51 points, or 0.47%, to trade at a new peak of 27,148.90, surpassing its earlier record of 27,082.85 touched yesterday (intra-day).



All the sectoral indices, led by tech, consumer durables, infrastructure and oil & gas, were trading in positive territory with gains up to 0.93%.



Maintaining its record-breaking spree, the NSE nifty also shot up by another 36.75 points, or 0.45%, to hit a fresh life-time high of 8,119.80, crossing its previous record of 8,101.95 hit yesterday.



Brokers said sentiments remained buoyant with key indices soaring to new highs on sustained foreign capital inflows and widespread buying by retail investors, driven by positive economic data such as better-than-expected GDP growth in first quarter and narrowing CAD.



Besides, positive global factors with crude oil prices falling to multi-month lows and a firming trend on other Asian markets boosted investor sentiments, they said.



Among other Asian markets, Japan's Nikkei rose 0.82%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.15% in early trade today.



The US Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, closed 0.18% lower in yesterday's trade.  
 
 Anand maurya
pgdm-3 sem