Monday, November 11, 2013

Re ends at nearly two-month low of 63 Vs Dollar, drops 77 paise

 

The Rupee ended at nearly two-month low of 63.24 versus the dollar, down 77 paise or 1.23%. It moved in a range of 62.94 per dollar and 63.32 per dollar during the morning deals.

Earlier, it dropped by 83 paise to 63.30 against the American currency after a gap of nearly eight weeks on persistent dollar demand from importers and banks on the back of higher dollar overseas.

The rupee resumed lower at 63.00 per dollar as against the last weekend's level of of 62.47 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market and dropped further to 63.32 per dollar before quoting at 63.30 per dollar at 1040 hrs.

Sustained dollar demand from importers and banks in view of firm dollar overseas mainly affected the rupee value against the dollar, a forex dealer said.

In New York, the American currency jumped last Friday after the US created twice as many jobs in October as Wall Street had expected, sparking yet another round of discussion about when the Federal Reserve could slow its bond buys.

Meanwhile, the Indian benchmark Sensex dropped further by 129 points, or 0.62%, to 20,537.37 at 1050 hrs.

 

anand maurya

pgdm-1 sem

 

Sunday, November 10, 2013

mint

Sensex is at 16,000 with stocks having lowest FII weightage

Moral of the story: The FII heavy stocks are the only drivers of the market while the rest of it is below the levels recorded in 2008 and 2010.
Moral of the story: The FII heavy stocks are the only drivers of the market while the rest of it is below the levels recorded in 2008 and 2010.
MUMBAI: Screaming headlines and breathless market commentary about the Sensex's alltime highs have dominated discourse on the markets in recent weeks. While most experts have focused on surging overseas investor flows as the main driver — although corporate performance and a rebound in some sectors have also played a part — the absolute control that FIIs have come to exert on the market is perhaps not so well-understood.

Since January 2012, FIIs have invested nearly Rs 2,20,000 crore in Indian stocks. The rush has happened despite poor corporate earnings and economic growth slipping to a decade-low in FY13.

ETconducted an exercise to find a different way of expressing the extent of FII dominance. We tweaked the Sensex to remove all stocks with low FII holding and assumed the benchmark to comprise the top 15 stocks with the highest foreign fund holding. Seen this way, and taking the Sensex's base of 2008, its value is actually 41,000, double the current levels

                                                                  Nagesh dubey
                                                                  Pgdm 1st year

apple naresh pg

Apple eyes Rs 1,000 crore from iPhone 5S sales in India in Q3

Apple is also looking to tap the 6-lakh owners of the iPhone 4 to trade up to the new model, currently the costliest smartphone in India at Rs 53,500.
Apple is also looking to tap the 6-lakh owners of the iPhone 4 to trade up to the new model, currently the costliest smartphone in India at Rs 53,500.

BSE
137.65
-1.95(-1.40%)
Vol: 566533 shares traded
NSE
137.55
-2.40(-1.71%)
Vol: 2198449 shares traded
KOLKATA | NEW DELHI: Encouraged by the popularity of the iPhone 5s in India, Apple has targeted Rs 1,000 crore from sales of the handset this quarter, which will make it one of the most successful smartphone launches in the country and in line with that of devices such as the Galaxy S series of phones made by market leader Samsung.

The goal is about twice the sales of the iPhone 5 in the year-ago quarter, which made Apple the second-largest smartphone vendor in India by value after Samsung.

Apple is also looking to tap the 6-lakh owners of the iPhone 4 to trade up to the new model, currently the costliest smartphone in India at Rs 53,500 for the 16GB unit, Rs 62,500 for the 32GB one and Rs 71,500 for the 64GB handset.

It has also launched its biggest advertising campaign ever in India, estimated at around Rs 25 crore, for the iPhone 5s and 5c in partnership with distributors Redington and Ingram Micro, along with telecom partners Reliance CommunicationsBSE -1.40 % and Bharti AirtelBSE -0.93 %.

Apple has less than two months to sell about 2 lakh new phones to meet its target and has sought fresh supplies of the 5s, reportedly sold out after its November 1 launch in relatively sparse numbers, according to three senior executives at Apple's trade partners in India. They didn't want to be identified. "Apple is aware its iPhone 5s has become an instant hit," said one of those cited above.

The iPhone 5c, with a plastic body, is priced at Rs 41,900 for the 16GB model and Rs 53,500 for the 32GB one. The Cupertino, Californiabased company is seeking to gain market share in India, the world's biggest market for mobile phones after China, which it neglected until about a year ago when it began trying to push its products with installment plans and other programmes.

It's also concerned that this has allowed companies such as Samsung to take advantage of the vacuum created by Nokia's weakening presence to gain a dominating lead in the marketplace, with an added edge provided by the launch of products such as the new Samsung Galaxy Gear smart watch.
Samsung's leadership also means the wider adoption of the An-droid ecosystem developed by Google to the detriment of Apple's own iTunes app store. "While Android has a lot of flexible apps, most of the apps on (Apple's) iOS platfrom are paid, which does not go very well with the Indian consumer," said Sankalp Damani, associate consultant, business advisory services, EY.

Still, Apple wants to make sure it doesn't miss this opportunity to rapidly scale up its market share in India. Top multi-brand electronic retail chains such as The MobileStore, eZone, PlanetM and UniverCell, along with the Apple premium resellers, said bookings for the 5s are more than twice what they sold during the launch phase.



 naresh kr pgdm

Finance ministry keen on PPP in gold mining

NEW DELHI: After public private partnerships in railways, highways and oil and gas exploration, the government is considering opening up the gold mining sector to explore and produce the yellow metal under PPP mode.

The finance ministry has floated a concept paper and is pursuing it keenly with the mines ministry. After a review meeting in the finance ministry recently, a reminder was sent to the mines ministry to expedite the proposal sent to it by North Block.

Finance minister P Chidambaram's hunt for gold is also driven by the limited options available to the government to bring down the current account deficit which is mainly affected by largescale import of the yellow metal - nearly 800 tonnes a year.

In 2012-13, India imported 850 tonnes of gold valued at $58 billion (more than Rs 3 lakh crore at current dollar prices) and it was one of the major causes of the burgeoning current account deficit. In the current fiscal, gold import is estimated to be around 800 tonnes. Around 400 tonnes of gold has been imported in the first half of the fiscal till September. Only a fraction of this is exported in the form of jewellery.

Industry experts say India has at least 40 potential gold mines. Currently, gold is mined at three locations in Karnataka and Jharkhand producing around 2.50 tonnes a year. Estimates by the Planning Commission put domestic gold production at 44 tonnes during the 12th five-year plan period, which could go up to 100 tonnes by 2025.

The finance ministry's enthusiasm to open up the mining sector is, however, not shared by the mines ministry, which is sitting over its proposal and has not responded to repeated communications. 
      PRASHANT SHARMA                                                                                                                               PGDM-I                                                                                                                                                   

Bull party is over; sell Nifty on rallies

MUMBAI: Last week, based on the technical evidence, we categorically concluded that the upmove will not last long and shall fizzle out close to 6,350 levels. As expected, the markets lost the momentum after registering a peak of 6,343 on Diwali day and shed around 200 points from the top of 6,343 in the truncated week.

The big bear candle on weekly charts is accompanied by sell signal on momentum oscillators. Logical targets for this downswing are placed at 5,875. However, the rally which started from the lows of 5,118 in the form of Zig Zag appears to have culminated at a high of 6,343 which has pattern implications of 60 - 80 per cent retracement level in neo wave terms.








The support for Monday can be expected around 6,120. Our bearish view shall get negated only when Nifty decisively breakout above the 2008 peak of 6,357.


Hence, if this entire up-move is getting retraced then we can project 5,585 on NIFTY in the due course of time. Besides, at one higher degree, the market behaviour since February 2013 appears to be unfolding in the form of an expanding triangle.




If the said ZigZag which was concluded at the top of 6,343 is part of said triangle in the form of 4th leg then the current downswing shall be considered as 5th leg which has the potentiality of taking Nifty back to below 5,118 levels.

This kind of market behaviour can't be ruled out as the last leg of up-move from the lows of 5,118 is pretty much looking like a part of the larger bear market which is still in progress from the top of 2008. We may or may not see these kinds of levels but traders are advised to keep this option open as charts evolve only over a period of time.

However, for the immediate week, things are looking slightly positive as this 4 day consecutive sell-off has pushed indices into over sold territory from where a pull-back rally can be expected.

Hence in the first two trading sessions of the week markets may consolidate in a sideways range with a positive bias before registering a pull-back rally which shall ideally peter out around 6,258 or in the zone of 6,288 - 6,311.

This rally shall be utilised to exit long positions and create fresh shorts on the market. The support for Monday can be expected around 6,120. Our bearish view shall get negated only when Nifty decisively breakout above the 2008 peak of 6,357.

We like following stock specific ideas for the week:

Hero Motors:

For several trading sessions, this counter is moving in a large range of Rs 2,100 - 1,980. Last six trading sessions witnessed a very narrow range bound move in this scrip suggesting weakening momentum at higher range of the band in which it is consolidating. Any rally above Rs 2,100 shall be utilised to short this scrip for a target of Rs 1,980 with a stoploss placed above Rs 2,130 on closing basis.

After retracing 62 per cent of its last leg of rise from Rs 402, this counter approached its daily trendline support which has multiple touch points and which may prop it up as it did in the past. In that scenario this counter has potentiality to target Rs 452 - 460 kinds of levels. Hence one can buy it for said targets with a stop loss below Rs 423 on closing basis.

ICICI Bank:

This counter registered a Doji formation on Japanese Candlestick Charts after retracing 62 per cent of its last leg of rise on shorter time frame charts. Besides a Daily Trend line support is also placed close to last trading session's low of Rs 1,041 from where a quick bounce can be expected which may take the scrip initially towards Rs 1,091 in couple of trading sessions. Hence one can buy this counter for the said target with a stop loss below Rs 1,041 on closing basis.

Reliance Communication:

This scrip appears to be making a channelled move for last couple of weeks and approached lower boundary of the said channel from where, based on last trading sessions intraday behaviour, a bounce can be expected which may take the stock close to Rs 148 in few trading sessions. Hence, it merits a buy with a stop below Rs 137 on closing basis for a target of Rs 148.

NOTES:

1. Prices mentioned above are from NSE Cash segment.

2. All recommendations are positional trades requiring minimum 2 - 3 weeks from the date of execution

3. Recommendations are made purely on the basis of technical research studies and readers are requested to consult their own financial advisors before acting as analyst will not be in touch to communicate any adverse and unexpected technical developments on the charts.

                    By 
Shah Mohammad Abdul Qadir 
PGDM 1st Sem. 2013-2015
IIMT  College of Management 
       Greter Noida. UP

Rs. breaches 63-mark vs $; down 60 paise in early trade

 

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Continuing its slide for the fourth straight day, the rupee on Monday again breached the 63-mark against the dollar, falling sharply by 60 paise to trade at 63.07 on strong dollar demand from importers and a lower opening in the domestic equity market.

At the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) market, the local currency opened sharply lower at 63 a dollar from its previous close of 62.47 and breached 63 level to trade at 63.07.

Forex dealers said besides sustained demand for the US currency from importers and capital outflows, dollar's strength against other overseas currencies on upbeat US jobs data, weighed on the domestic currency.

The rupee had depreciated by six paise to close at an almost six-week low of 62.47 against the dollar in the previous session.

Meanwhile, the BSE Sensex dropped 183.74 points, or 0.88%, to 20,482.41 in early trade on Monday.

 

anand maurya 

pgdm-1sem

Thursday, November 7, 2013

Tech Mahindra shares surge on earnings, MSCI inclusion

Tech Mahindra shares rise as much as 6% to its highest since May 2007

Tech Mahindra on Thursday posted July-September consolidated net profit of `718 crore, slightly higher than consensus forecasts of `710 crore. Photo: Hemant Mishra/Mint
 

 

Tech Mahindra on Thursday posted July-September consolidated net profit of Rs.718 crore, slightly higher than consensus forecasts of Rs.710 crore. Photo: Hemant Mishra/Mint

 

Mumbai: Tech Mahindra Ltd shares rose as much as 6% on Friday to its highest since May 2007 after the company’s July-September earnings beat some analysts’ estimates.
Tech Mahindra also got a boost after MSCI said on Thursday it would add its shares to its MSCI India index. The inclusion will be effective as of the close of trade on 26 November, the index provider said.
Tech Mahindra on Thursday posted July-September consolidated net profit of Rs.718 crore, slightly higher than consensus forecasts of Rs.710 crore.
Tech Mahindra shares were up 4.8% at Rs.1,656.55 apiece at 10:21am on BSE, outperforming a 0.44% fall in the Sensex.
 
TOUHID HUSSAIN
PGDM  2nd year